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MeridianTexas · ERCOT
Still in development

Zenith

Frontier Texas grid-tightness forecasting.

168h horizon1,096 origins4 models
Zenith liveConnecting…
—MW reported PRCLoading live signal
6 HOURS AGONOW

Illustrative outlook.

Tue · 4–7 PMExample only
CONSTRAINT RISK72%Elevated
4 PM7 PM9 PM

Risk windowClear

FLEXIBLE WINDOWShift before peakResume after 9 PM
Demand
Renewables
Capacity
Outages
ZENITH168hdecision outlook
WHENOnset + recovery
WHEREGrid tightness
HOWFlexible timing

Comparison.

1,096 matched origins · 2020–2022
88.92%Zenith nominal 90% coverage
Zenith88.92%
ERCOT-derived86.34%
EMOS / ECC87.03%
NGBoost / ECC86.59%
Closer to 90% is better

Historical reconstruction · ERCOT-derived is not ERCOT's internal model.

Nominal 90% interval coverage during Uri.

Forecast what matters.

Interested?